In the week of 29 January - 05 February 2025 more than usual rainfall is expected in parts of southern Kenya and central to eastern Tanzania this week, coupled with warmer-than-average temperatures across most of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region. Communities are advised to stay vigilant, especially in flood-prone areas.
Rainfall Forecast
Total Rainfall
Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) is expected across most of Burundi, Tanzania, and parts of south-western Kenya. Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is anticipated in western Rwanda, northern Burundi, south-western to western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and regions along the Red Sea coast.
(Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 liter of water per square meter.)
Rainfall Anomalies
Above-average rainfall is predicted for parts of south-western Kenya and central to eastern Tanzania.
Below-average rainfall is likely over central to western regions of Tanzania.
Exceptional Rainfall
Rainfall exceeding the top 10% of historical records is forecasted in isolated areas of central and southern Tanzania.
Flood Risks
Areas in central Tanzania experiencing exceptionally heavy rainfall may see isolated incidents of flooding.
Residents in high-risk zones are urged to take precautionary measures and stay updated on local advisories.
This week’s forecast underscores the importance of preparedness in areas prone to heavy rainfall and flooding. Authorities and communities should collaborate to minimize potential impacts, particularly in central Tanzania, where exceptional weather conditions are expected.
Source: IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC). See map .